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Bayes Theorem

Does patient have cancer or not?

A patient takes a lab test and the result comes back positive. The test returns a correct positive result in only 15#15 of the cases in which the disease is actually present, and a correct negative result in only 16#16 of the cases in which the disease is not present. Furthermore, 17#17 of the entire population have this cancer.


  18#18 19#19  
  20#20 21#21  
  22#22 23#23  



Don Patterson 2001-12-14