Grove, A.J., Halpern, J.Y. and Koller, D. (1994)
"Random Worlds and Maximum Entropy", Volume 2, pages 33-88.
Abstract: Given a knowledge base KB containing
first-order and statistical facts, we consider a principled method,
called the random-worlds method, for computing a degree of
belief that some formula Phi holds given KB. If we are
reasoning about a world or system consisting of N individuals,
then we can consider all possible worlds, or first-order models, with
domain {1,...,N} that satisfy KB, and compute the
fraction of them in which Phi is true. We define the degree of
belief to be the asymptotic value of this fraction as N grows
large. We show that when the vocabulary underlying Phi and
KB uses constants and unary predicates only, we can naturally
associate an entropy with each world. As N grows larger,
there are many more worlds with higher entropy. Therefore, we can use
a maximum-entropy computation to compute the degree of belief.
This result is in a similar spirit to previous work in physics and
artificial intelligence, but is far more general. Of equal interest
to the result itself are the limitations on its scope. Most
importantly, the restriction to unary predicates seems necessary.
Although the random-worlds method makes sense in general, the
connection to maximum entropy seems to disappear in the non-unary
case. These observations suggest unexpected limitations to the
applicability of maximum-entropy methods.
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